Thursday, January 3, 2008

TS ALMA - **HURRICANE WATCH** - 0000 Z, 04-JAN-08

SOME MAJOR UPDATES IN BOTH PROG'ED TRACK AND EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT. ALMA IS CURRENTLY CENTERED AT 44N, 143W, CONTINUING TO TRACK TOWARD ESE ... HOWEVER ... LATEST MODEL RUNS PROG TRACK TO CURVE NORTHWARD. LANDFALL IN PACNW NOW INCREASINGLY LIKELY, PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS VANCOUVER I. DEVELOPMENT WISE - CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN THROUGH 970 MB. SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO RANGE FROM SUSTAINED 40KT TO 55KT. WITH EXPECTED LOWERING THROUGH 960 MB, WE NOW RAISE LEVEL TO HURRICANE WATCH FOR MAIN TRACK AREA. THEREFORE ... FROM PT CONCEPTION TO PT ARENA, TS WATCH. FROM PT ARENA TO COOS BAY, TS WARNING. FROM COOS BAY TO NORTHERN END OF VANC I, HURRICANE WATCH, FROM N END OF VANC TO PRINCE RUPERT, TS WARNING, FROM PRINCE RUPERT TO JUNEAU TS WATCH. EOT. SCHMIDT-TRIGGER.

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