Thursday, January 10, 2008

HURRICANE BORIS - 0144Z, 11-JAN-08

BASED ON DVORAK, AND, A WIND REPORT FROM A DUMB SHIP, WE RAISE THIS FEATURE TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 - 70KTS, CURRENT LOCATION OF EYE IS 160W, 38N. CENTRAL PRESSURE WE'D RATHER NOT DISCUSS. FEATURE IS PROG'ED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT ESE, WHERE, IT EVENTUALLY COMES UP AGAINST NOW FORMING SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE RIDGE. FROM THERE, TRACK AND LIKELY DEVELOPMENT ARE NOT RESOLVING WELL WITH MODELS. NONETHELESS, WE ARE NOW AT THREE HURRICANES OUT OF THREE NAMED NEPAC STORMS, AND WE HAVE YET TO COMPLETE SECOND FULL WEEK OF JANUARY. UNPRECEDENTED. EOT. FORECASTER - SCHMID-TRIGGER.

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